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  • Scott Poore, AIF, AWMA, APMA

Equities Look To Finish The Year On A High Note

Most major indices were higher in broad upward movement in a holiday-shortened week.

In fact, equity sectors that have not participated as much in this year's rally out-performed leading sectors such as Technology and Communication Services. Sectors such as Healthcare, Utilities, and Consumer Defensive, which are negative for the year, moved higher last week. The remainder of the year is about the "Santa Claus Rally" and the health of the consumer. While the total numbers are not yet in for Black Friday sales, online purchases on Friday were up 7.5% year-over-year. In addition, retail store shopper traffic was up 2.1% on Friday versus 2022. Redbook Sales on a year-over-year basis showed +3.4% growth and do not yet resemble prior recessionary periods, for the perma-bears in the audience.


Initial Jobless Claims dropped considerably from 233,000 the previous week to 209,000 last week.

A lot has been made of some of the seasonal revisions to claims over the past several weeks, however, you can see that, even with the revisions, the trend is lower since the middle of the year. This also bodes well for the consumer as plenty of jobs means holiday shoppers will have money in their pockets for Christmas. Interest rates are easing, along with mortgage rates, and this week we'll get the Fed's favorite measure of inflation, which is expected to be lower than the previous month. Volatility is at year-to-date lows, so some choppiness heading into year-end should not come as a shock.

 

Disclosures


The information contained herein is for informational purposes only and is developed from sources believed to be providing accurate information. The opinions expressed are those of the author, are for general information, and should not be considered a solicitation for the purchase or sale of any security. The decision to review or consider the purchase or sell of any security should not be undertaken without consideration of your personal financial information, investment objectives and risk tolerance with your financial professional.


Forecasts or forward-looking statements are based on assumptions, may not materialize, and are subject to revision without notice.


Any market indexes discussed are unmanaged, and generally, considered representative of their respective markets. Index performance is not indicative of the past performance of a particular investment. Indexes do not incur management fees, costs, and expenses. Individuals cannot directly invest in unmanaged indexes. The S&P 500 Composite Index is an unmanaged group of securities that are considered to be representative of the stock market in general.


Past Performance does not guarantee future results.

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